{"id":10258,"date":"2019-03-15T12:35:24","date_gmt":"2019-03-15T15:35:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/controversia.com.br\/?p=10258"},"modified":"2019-03-15T09:52:34","modified_gmt":"2019-03-15T12:52:34","slug":"finalizar-a-guerra-da-siria-sem-nova-crise-humanitaria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/controversia.com.br\/pt\/2019\/03\/15\/finalizar-a-guerra-da-siria-sem-nova-crise-humanitaria\/","title":{"rendered":"Finalizar a Guerra da S\u00edria sem nova crise humanit\u00e1ria"},"content":{"rendered":"

Luiz E\u00e7a<\/strong> – N\u00e3o h\u00e1 mais chances de os re\u00adbeldes de\u00adsa\u00adlo\u00adjarem Assad do poder. S\u00f3 a pro\u00adv\u00edncia e a ci\u00addade de Idlib est\u00e3o nas m\u00e3os deles. Fora isso, restam-lhes apenas al\u00adguns bol\u00ads\u00f5es no no\u00adro\u00adeste e no leste da S\u00edria. E o trunfo mais im\u00adpor\u00adtante: Idlib, agora sob a Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS, ex-Nusra Front, fi\u00adlial da Al-Qaeda no pa\u00eds), a \u00fanica pro\u00adv\u00edncia que re\u00adsiste ao go\u00adverno de Da\u00admasco.<\/p>\n

O Es\u00adtado Is\u00adl\u00e2\u00admico (EI) j\u00e1 perdeu quase tudo, vive ainda em uns poucos vi\u00adla\u00adrejos e acam\u00adpa\u00admentos de mi\u00adli\u00adtantes, es\u00adpa\u00adlhados pelo de\u00adserto.<\/p>\n

Dos civis e mi\u00adli\u00adtares mo\u00adde\u00adrados que ini\u00adci\u00adaram a re\u00advolta, n\u00e3o so\u00adbraram muitos. S\u00e3o ir\u00adre\u00adle\u00advantes nas hostes das for\u00e7as que se op\u00f5em ao re\u00adgime de Assad. Uma parte ainda mi\u00adlita nas For\u00e7as De\u00admo\u00adcr\u00e1\u00adtica S\u00ed\u00adrias (FDS), tamb\u00e9m in\u00adte\u00adgrada pelos curdos, que as li\u00adderam, e apoiada pela po\u00adde\u00adrosa avi\u00ada\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA.<\/p>\n

\u00c9 nas re\u00adgi\u00f5es ocu\u00adpadas pela FDS que est\u00e3o se\u00addi\u00adados 5 mil sol\u00addados norte-ame\u00adri\u00adcanos, \u00e0 es\u00adpera da ordem de re\u00adti\u00adrada pro\u00adme\u00adtida pelo pre\u00adsi\u00addente Trump.<\/p>\n

Con\u00adti\u00adnuam em luta ou\u00adtros grupos jiha\u00addistas, dos quais o mais forte \u00e9 a Frente de Li\u00adber\u00adta\u00e7\u00e3o Na\u00adci\u00adonal, sob in\u00adflu\u00eancia dos turcos, a qual ao lado da fi\u00adlial da Al-Qaeda, o Hayat Tahrir al Sham, ma\u00adjo\u00adri\u00adt\u00e1ria nas ci\u00addades e vi\u00adla\u00adrejos da pro\u00adv\u00edncia de Idlib,<\/p>\n

Sendo Idlib a \u00fal\u00adtima \u00e1rea sig\u00adni\u00adfi\u00adca\u00adtiva go\u00adver\u00adnada por re\u00adbeldes, o go\u00adverno Assad pri\u00ado\u00adriza sua to\u00admada, pois isso po\u00adderia fazer as di\u00adversas for\u00e7as re\u00adbeldes aban\u00addo\u00adnarem seu sonho im\u00adpos\u00ads\u00edvel, frag\u00admen\u00adtando-se em ren\u00addi\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es, acordos com Assad ou in\u00adgresso na clan\u00addes\u00adti\u00adni\u00addade para con\u00adti\u00adnu\u00adarem a operar em a\u00e7\u00f5es ter\u00adro\u00adristas.<\/p>\n

A pro\u00adv\u00edncia de Idlib, com cerca de 3 mi\u00adlh\u00f5es de ha\u00adbi\u00adtantes no in\u00adte\u00adrior e 170 mil na ca\u00adpital, \u00e9 agora a \u00fal\u00adtima bar\u00adreira para que o go\u00adverno in\u00adclua no seu mapa pra\u00adti\u00adca\u00admente toda a S\u00edria.<\/p>\n

Ter\u00e1 pela frente prin\u00adci\u00adpal\u00admente os guer\u00adreiros do HTS, que der\u00adro\u00adtaram os ou\u00adtros grupos jiha\u00addistas, as\u00adsu\u00admindo o go\u00adverno da pro\u00adv\u00edncia.<\/p>\n

Com mais de 20 mil guer\u00adreiros, o HTS e al\u00adguns ali\u00adados tentam impor a Sharia (lei is\u00adl\u00e2\u00admica da\u00adtada da Idade M\u00e9dia) ao p\u00e9 da letra nas re\u00adgi\u00f5es que con\u00adtrolam, apli\u00adcando re\u00adgras fun\u00adda\u00admen\u00adta\u00adlistas se\u00adme\u00adlhantes \u00e0s do EI.<\/p>\n

Em agosto de 2018, o mi\u00adnistro do Ex\u00adte\u00adrior da S\u00edria, Walid Mu\u00adallem, de\u00adclarou que agora o ob\u00adje\u00adtivo do seu go\u00adverno era li\u00adbertar Idlib. Em\u00adbora tenha afir\u00admado que o ter\u00adri\u00adt\u00f3rio seria re\u00adcu\u00adpe\u00adrado atrav\u00e9s de \u201cacordos de re\u00adcon\u00adci\u00adli\u00ada\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d, deixou os ha\u00adbi\u00adtantes de ore\u00adlhas em p\u00e9 quando es\u00adcla\u00adreceu: \u201ces\u00adtamos de\u00adter\u00admi\u00adnados a der\u00adrotar o HTS, n\u00e3o im\u00adportam os sa\u00adcri\u00adf\u00ed\u00adcios\u201d.<\/p>\n

Como para os su\u00adces\u00adsores da al Qaeda, re\u00adcon\u00adci\u00adliar-se n\u00e3o cos\u00adtuma ser op\u00e7\u00e3o, teme-se que os sa\u00adcri\u00adf\u00ed\u00adcios se\u00adriam ine\u00advi\u00adt\u00e1\u00adveis. Re\u00adcaindo sobre o povo, como \u00e9 h\u00e1\u00adbito de go\u00advernos em todo o pla\u00adneta.<\/p>\n

Os russos, ali\u00adados im\u00adpres\u00adcin\u00add\u00ed\u00adveis de Assad, apres\u00adsaram-se a ra\u00adti\u00adficar esse re\u00adceio, ga\u00adran\u00adtindo que o go\u00adverno de Da\u00admasco teria todo o di\u00adreito de \u201cli\u00adquidar a amea\u00e7a ter\u00adro\u00adrista no seu ter\u00adri\u00adt\u00f3rio.\u201d<\/p>\n

Au\u00adto\u00adma\u00adti\u00adca\u00admente, bro\u00adtaram os pe\u00adsa\u00addelos dos cercos de Aleppo e Racqua, com as de\u00advas\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es cau\u00adsadas, res\u00adpec\u00adti\u00adva\u00admente, pelos avi\u00f5es russos e es\u00adta\u00addu\u00adni\u00addenses, que des\u00adtru\u00edram por\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es subs\u00adtan\u00adciais dessas ci\u00addades, ma\u00adtando civis ino\u00adcentes em massa.<\/p>\n

Fe\u00adliz\u00admente, a ONU agiu para tentar im\u00adpedir mais um de\u00adsastre hu\u00adma\u00adni\u00adt\u00e1rio na Guerra da S\u00edria.<\/p>\n

Por pro\u00adposta de Staffan de Mis\u00adtura, seu re\u00adpre\u00adsen\u00adtante na guerra, foi criada, sob pa\u00adtro\u00adc\u00ednio da R\u00fassia e da Tur\u00adquia, uma zona tamp\u00e3o des\u00admi\u00adli\u00adta\u00adri\u00adzada, de 15 a 20 km de lar\u00adgura, se\u00adpa\u00adrando os ter\u00adri\u00adt\u00f3\u00adrios re\u00adbeldes dos se\u00adtores vi\u00adzi\u00adnhos con\u00adtro\u00adlados pelo re\u00adgime s\u00edrio.<\/p>\n

Os grupos jiha\u00addistas de\u00adve\u00adriam aban\u00addonar essa zona, de\u00advendo ainda re\u00adtirar de l\u00e1 todas as suas armas pe\u00adsadas. Em con\u00adtra\u00adpar\u00adtida, o re\u00adgime de Assad se com\u00adpro\u00admetia a in\u00adter\u00adromper tem\u00adpo\u00adra\u00adri\u00ada\u00admente sua ofen\u00adsiva contra Idlib.<\/p>\n

Era o pri\u00admeiro passo para se chegar a um acordo entre go\u00adverno e re\u00adbeldes.<\/p>\n

Uma das prin\u00adci\u00adpais van\u00adta\u00adgens ofe\u00adre\u00adcidas \u00e9 que, no caso de ata\u00adques de bom\u00adbar\u00addeios russos e s\u00ed\u00adrios a Idlib, os civis po\u00adde\u00adriam fugir para a zona tamp\u00e3o, onde re\u00adce\u00adbe\u00adriam ajuda hu\u00adma\u00adni\u00adt\u00e1ria.<\/p>\n

Foi fi\u00adxado um prazo para que o HTS e a Frente de Li\u00adber\u00adta\u00e7\u00e3o Na\u00adci\u00adonal cum\u00adprissem todas as suas obri\u00adga\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es en\u00advol\u00advidas no acordo.<\/p>\n

De um modo geral, as coisas foram indo bem, apesar de o HTS de\u00admorar a fazer o que devia.<\/p>\n

No en\u00adtanto, no m\u00eas pas\u00adsado, estes su\u00adces\u00adsores da al Qaeda lan\u00ad\u00e7aram-se numa ofen\u00adsiva pelo in\u00adte\u00adrior da pro\u00adv\u00edncia de Idlib, to\u00admando ci\u00addades e vilas e subs\u00adti\u00adtuindo os go\u00advernos lo\u00adcais por ele\u00admentos d\u00f3\u00adceis a seu co\u00admando.<\/p>\n

J\u00e1 con\u00adquis\u00adtaram 90% de Idlib, che\u00adgando mesmo a pe\u00adne\u00adtrar na pr\u00f3\u00adpria zona tamp\u00e3o, o que amea\u00e7a o acordo subs\u00adcrito pela Tur\u00adquia e pela R\u00fassia.<\/p>\n

Ora, n\u00e3o es\u00adtava no script. Pos\u00adsi\u00advel\u00admente, o re\u00adgime de Assad deve re\u00adagir, vol\u00adtando a bom\u00adbar\u00addear Idlib com avi\u00f5es russos e lan\u00ad\u00e7ando uma ofen\u00adsiva ter\u00adrestre em grande es\u00adcala.<\/p>\n

Es\u00adpera-se que isso seja evi\u00adtado, dando mais tempo para que os re\u00adbeldes acabem ad\u00admi\u00adtindo que sua luta n\u00e3o t\u00eam fu\u00adturo e aceitem en\u00adtregar Idlib, o que poria ponto final na Guerra da S\u00edria, com quase todas as suas im\u00adpli\u00adca\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Ainda fal\u00adtaria a lim\u00adpeza dos \u00fal\u00adtimos e es\u00adgar\u00ad\u00e7ados re\u00addutos do EI, a so\u00adlu\u00e7\u00e3o para o pro\u00adblema curdo, um acordo in\u00adter\u00adna\u00adci\u00adonal re\u00adgu\u00adlando a tran\u00adsi\u00e7\u00e3o do pa\u00eds para a de\u00admo\u00adcracia e a con\u00adcess\u00e3o de re\u00adcursos para a re\u00adcons\u00adtru\u00e7\u00e3o da S\u00edria.<\/p>\n

Cabe aos EUA, R\u00fassia, Ir\u00e3, Ar\u00e1bia Sau\u00addita, Emi\u00adrados \u00c1rabes Unidos, Tur\u00adquia, Fran\u00e7a e Reino Unido as\u00adsu\u00admirem todas estas a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Pa\u00adrece muito, mas \u00e9 o m\u00ed\u00adnimo para pa\u00edses cujos in\u00adte\u00adresses po\u00adl\u00ed\u00adticos im\u00adpe\u00addiram que a guerra aca\u00adbasse mais cedo.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.correiocidadania.com.br\/2-uncategorised\/13688-finalizar-a-guerra-da-siria-sem-nova-crise-humanitaria<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Luiz E\u00e7a – N\u00e3o h\u00e1 mais chances de os re\u00adbeldes de\u00adsa\u00adlo\u00adjarem Assad do poder. S\u00f3 a pro\u00adv\u00edncia e a ci\u00addade de Idlib est\u00e3o nas m\u00e3os deles. Fora isso, restam-lhes apenas al\u00adguns bol\u00ads\u00f5es no no\u00adro\u00adeste e no leste da S\u00edria. E o trunfo mais im\u00adpor\u00adtante: Idlib, agora sob a Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS, ex-Nusra Front, fi\u00adlial […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10259,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1,3],"tags":[71],"class_list":["post-10258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geografia","category-internacional","tag-geopolitica"],"yoast_head":"\nFinalizar a Guerra da S\u00edria sem nova crise humanit\u00e1ria - Controversia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/controversia.com.br\/pt\/2019\/03\/15\/finalizar-a-guerra-da-siria-sem-nova-crise-humanitaria\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Finalizar a Guerra da S\u00edria sem nova crise humanit\u00e1ria - Controversia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Luiz E\u00e7a – N\u00e3o h\u00e1 mais chances de os re\u00adbeldes de\u00adsa\u00adlo\u00adjarem Assad do poder. 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